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How healthy is the community solar market?

Despite lengthening project development timelines, pipelines in key community solar state markets remain healthy, supporting the market’s health throughout our five-year outlook. Overall, we expect the national market to contract by 6% on average annually through 2030.

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This report (“Report”) and all Solar Market Insight® (“SMI”)TM reports are jointly owned by Wood Mackenzie and the SEIA® (jointly, “Owners”) and are protected by United States copyright and trademark laws and international copyright/intellectual property laws under applicable treaties and/or conventions.

How will New York's solar market perform in 2025?

New volumes in New York also declined slightly, even as the state continues to represent 52% of the total market. We expect the national community solar market to contract 22% this year, following a particularly strong 2024 for the segment. However, installed capacity in 2025 will still exceed 2023 volumes, reaching approximately 1.5 GWdc.

How will the community solar market change in 2025?

The community solar market will experience a more significant contraction, with capacity declining by 22% year-over-year in 2025, following a record year in 2024. Lastly, utility-scale installations will drop by 2% in 2025 after two solid years of growth.

How much solar capacity did the US solar industry install in Q1 2025?

The US solar industry installed 10.8 gigawatts-direct current (GWdc) of capacity in the first quarter of 2025. Despite both a quarterly and annual decline in capacity, Q1 2025 was the industry’s fourth-best quarter. The utility-scale segment followed a similar trend, with 9 GWdc of capacity, which is lower than both Q1 2024 and Q4 2024.

What is a community solar PV project?

Community solar PV Note on market segmentation: Community solar projects are part of formal programs where multiple residential and non-residential customers can subscribe to the power produced by a local solar project and receive credits on their utility bills.